By Kevin Hudec
By Kevin Hudec
The experts are wrong. It’s that simple. Michael Vick is never going to play in the National Football League again.
Even the experts who admit to not liking Vick are talking about how he could make his comeback.
Vick’s co-defendant’s plea agreements suggested that they receive 12 to 18 months in jail.
Speculation has Vick getting the same sentence of 12 to 18 months in jail as well as paying a fine.
NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell suspended Vick indefinitely. Most experts seem to think this suspension will come to an end a year after Vick’s sentence does.
That’s right. Experts think that Vick, who pleaded guilty to breeding dogs to dogfight, organizing dogfights, gambling on dogfights, and killing the losing dogs in various ways ranging from drowning, electrocution, and beating the dog’s body against the ground multiple times, will get the same amount of time suspended as Adam “Pacman” Jones, who has been convicted of nothing and has only been accused of minor crimes.
Arthur Blank, owner of the Atlanta Falcons, has announced that Vick will never play in a Falcons uniform again. The Falcons have the rights to Vick for the next four years.
Admittedly the Falcons more than likely will cut Vick, but team officials have said that they don’t know if or when they will do so.
This means that Vick, now 27 years old, will probably not see the field again until he is 29 years old and could conceivably be out until he is 33 years old.
If you follow quarterback trends throughout most careers, you will notice that quarterbacks will generally be learning the speed of the game and how accurate you must be in the first eight years or so. Vick has been struggling with that.
They then will start to understand the game better as they learn what defenses will do and how to adjust to each situation. This takes about two or three years and most quarterbacks will actually get better as they get above 30. Vick hasn’t reached this stage yet.
However, Vick has never been known as a throw first type of player. He likes to make himself the biggest threat to defenses by running the ball out of the pocket himself. Most players who run the ball for a living will actually have their skills diminish after hitting their thirteenth birthday.
This means that even if Goodell is lenient, Blank decides to be nice to Vick, and he finds a team that would be willing to take a risk on him, Vick probably wouldn’t be able to keep up with the game because the time spent away has put him at such a disadvantage.
That’s a lot of variables and even if the best case scenario happens in each and every one of them, Vick still would have an extremely tough time trying to make a comeback in the NFL.